Long-COVID Clinical Development and Outcome Assessment
Analysis of the clinical development landscape targeting long-COVID and evolution of clinical outcome assessment methods – An industry perspective
Pandey, Ramesh Chandra1; Kumar, Saurabh2*
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PUBLISHED: 31 March 2025
CITATION: PANDEY, Ramesh Chandra; KUMAR, Saurabh. Analysis of the clinical development landscape targeting long-COVID and evolution of clinical outcome assessment methods – An industry perspective. Medical Research Archives, [S.l.], v. 13, n. 3, mar. 2025. Available at: <https://esmed.org/MRA/mra/article/view/6320>.
COPYRIGHT: © 2025 European Society of Medicine. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18103/mra.v13i3.6320
ISSN 2375-1924
ABSTRACT
Long COVID is the term used for health complications seen in patients recovered from acute coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Since the pandemic, there have been more than 700 million cases and over 7 million deaths reported worldwide (https://data.who.int/table/WHO/). Experts believe that these numbers are an underestimate due to lower and inaccurate reporting from LMIC (low- and middle-income countries). Particularly, the incidence surged in three distinct waves during the years between 2020 and 2022, primarily driven by different SARS-CoV-2 variants prevalent at that time. The opportunities for long-COVID research are vast, with a growing number of clinical trials initiated by the pharmaceutical industry. This paper aims to reassess the landscape as it pertains to long-COVID and to evaluate the clinical outcome assessment methods utilized in the studies cited.
Keywords
- Long COVID
- Clinical trials
- Outcome assessment
- Pharmaceutical industry
Introduction
Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) is an upper and lower respiratory tract infection caused by SARS-CoV-2 which caused a pandemic with more than 700 million cases and over 7 million deaths reported worldwide (https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19). Experts believe that these numbers are an underestimate due to lower and inaccurate reporting from LMIC (low- and middle-income countries). Particularly, the incidence surged in three distinct waves during the period of three years between 2020 and 2022, primarily driven by different SARS-CoV-2 variants prevalent at that time. The opportunities of longer follow-up post-pandemic, in patients recovered from acute COVID-19 disease resulted in identification of distinct health concern — post-COVID-19 syndrome or long-COVID. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE; UK) defines the post-COVID-19 syndrome (or post-COVID syndrome) as a set of persistent physical, cognitive, and/or psychological symptoms that continue for more than 12 weeks after illness and which are not explained by an alternative diagnosis (https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng188). Alternate definitions further sub-classify Post-COVID Syndrome into Long post-COVID symptoms and Persistent post-COVID symptoms, depending on the duration of persistence and has been reviewed elsewhere earlier. However, in the literature Long-COVID has been often used interchangeably with post-COVID syndrome.
Previously, Umesh et al. (2022) reviewed multifunctional pathophysiology such as pulmonary, neuropsychological, and cardiovascular complications, as well as dysfunctional gastrointestinal, endocrine, and metabolic health, which were responsible for health concerns in long-COVID patients. However, most of the industry-sponsored studies were focused on pulmonary symptoms. Although the epidemiological trends suggested a rise in cardiovascular complications, they were not addressed by most ongoing clinical studies at that time. Being a chronic condition, a longer follow-up period post-pandemic provides an opportunity to revisit the initial cardiovascular understanding. It is essential to re-assess the landscape after 3-4 years of the pandemic waves with respect to an emerging understanding of long-COVID as a health concern, the pharma industry’s innovation and investments to address them, and new ways to evaluate health outcomes from a real-world perspective. In this study, we highlight the trends in the landscape of industry-sponsored clinical activities (observational and interventional studies) addressing long-COVID over the period, based on the data from a clinical trial registry. We also explore deeper into the study designs and review the methods to assess the clinical outcomes that have evolved with greater emphasis on patient-reported outcomes. In addition, we also discuss the recent trends in understanding of long-COVID with respect to additional understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms and how the lack of specific diagnosis biomarkers for long-COVID is a barrier to further advancement in this field.
Methods
This analysis was conducted in three steps:
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Access a clinical trial registry to extract information about industry-sponsored studies as a dataset,
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Sequential shortlisting and curation of the data set, and
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Detailed analysis of the clinical studies that qualified the inclusion criteria, including type of assets, phase of development etc.
Clinical trial universe was assessed from the clinical trial registry maintained by National Library of Medicine (www.clinicaltrials.gov). The search string consisted of words and synonyms such as SARS COV-2, COVID-19, post-COVID-19, Post-acute COVID-19, Post-COVID Syndrome, COVID-19 sequelae, long COVID, persistence of symptoms and long-term health consequences (Figure 1). Timeline filter applied for the data extraction was the trial start date of 01/01/2021 or later. The data was downloaded from the registry on 30th Nov 2024 and 2nd Jan 2025 and merged. Only active clinical trials were considered for the analysis, excluding studies that were terminated, suspended, withdrawn or where the exact status was not available.
As the next step, the data universe was subjected to step-by-step shortlisting to include industry-sponsored clinical studies focusing on post-COVID syndrome or long COVID (Figure 1). The shortlisting criteria included exclusions like academic sponsorship, vaccines, studies focusing on acute-COVID-19, behavioral, physiotherapy or dietary interventions, and studies where the relevance or intent of the study in relation to long-COVID could not be established by the study description. The dataset was manually curated to address the inconsistency of the classification, such as industry sponsorship, trial focus, terminologies used in the studies etc.
Finally, the data available in the included trials were analyzed in detail to review the development stage and classify innovative approaches like medical devices, algorithms, biologics, etc., based on the information retrieved from the clinical trial registry.

Figure 1: Prisma diagram showing the extracting and step-by-step shorting of industry sponsored clinical studies focusing on long-COVID. Clinical trial data was extracted from clinicaltrials.gov, a trial registry maintained by national library of medicine, USA.
Results
A. INDUSTRY-SPONSORED CLINICAL STUDY LANDSCAPE ADDRESSING LONG-COVID
We analyzed 74 new initiated clinical studies, from the registry with start date on or after 01 Jan 2021. Among the 74 new clinical studies sponsored or initiated by Industry that were initiated after 2021, 81% were interventional and 19% were observational (Figure 2-A). Year-on-year (YOY) landscape demonstrates that long-COVID remains a focus for pharma industry (Figure 2-B). The landscape shows that an average of ~20 new industry-sponsored clinical studies were initiated annually over the last three years (17-25) and three studies are pre-planned for 2025 (Figure 2).
The type of interventions under assessment include small molecule drugs, biologic assets such as monoclonal antibodies or cell/gene therapies, MedTech interventions such as neurostimulation devices or digital therapeutics etc. (Table 1). Interestingly, there are a few innovative approaches involving leveraging of data/algorithm or machine learning to aid in the diagnosis or prognosis of the long-COVID.

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