Long-COVID Clinical Development and Outcome Assessment

Analysis of the clinical development landscape targeting long-COVID and evolution of clinical outcome assessment methods – An industry perspective

Pandey, Ramesh Chandra1; Kumar, Saurabh2*

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PUBLISHED: 31 March 2025

CITATION: PANDEY, Ramesh Chandra; KUMAR, Saurabh. Analysis of the clinical development landscape targeting long-COVID and evolution of clinical outcome assessment methods – An industry perspective. Medical Research Archives, [S.l.], v. 13, n. 3, mar. 2025. Available at: <https://esmed.org/MRA/mra/article/view/6320>. 

COPYRIGHT: © 2025 European Society of Medicine. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18103/mra.v13i3.6320

ISSN 2375-1924

ABSTRACT

Long COVID is the term used for health complications seen in patients recovered from acute coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Since the pandemic, there have been more than 700 million cases and over 7 million deaths reported worldwide (https://data.who.int/table/WHO/). Experts believe that these numbers are an underestimate due to lower and inaccurate reporting from LMIC (low- and middle-income countries). Particularly, the incidence surged in three distinct waves during the years between 2020 and 2022, primarily driven by different SARS-CoV-2 variants prevalent at that time. The opportunities for long-COVID research are vast, with a growing number of clinical trials initiated by the pharmaceutical industry. This paper aims to reassess the landscape as it pertains to long-COVID and to evaluate the clinical outcome assessment methods utilized in the studies cited.

Keywords

  • Long COVID
  • Clinical trials
  • Outcome assessment
  • Pharmaceutical industry

 

Introduction

Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) is an upper and lower respiratory tract infection caused by SARS-CoV-2 which caused a pandemic with more than 700 million cases and over 7 million deaths reported worldwide (https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19). Experts believe that these numbers are an underestimate due to lower and inaccurate reporting from LMIC (low- and middle-income countries). Particularly, the incidence surged in three distinct waves during the period of three years between 2020 and 2022, primarily driven by different SARS-CoV-2 variants prevalent at that time. The opportunities of longer follow-up post-pandemic, in patients recovered from acute COVID-19 disease resulted in identification of distinct health concern — post-COVID-19 syndrome or long-COVID. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE; UK) defines the post-COVID-19 syndrome (or post-COVID syndrome) as a set of persistent physical, cognitive, and/or psychological symptoms that continue for more than 12 weeks after illness and which are not explained by an alternative diagnosis (https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng188). Alternate definitions further sub-classify Post-COVID Syndrome into Long post-COVID symptoms and Persistent post-COVID symptoms, depending on the duration of persistence and has been reviewed elsewhere earlier. However, in the literature Long-COVID has been often used interchangeably with post-COVID syndrome.

Previously, Umesh et al. (2022) reviewed multifunctional pathophysiology such as pulmonary, neuropsychological, and cardiovascular complications, as well as dysfunctional gastrointestinal, endocrine, and metabolic health, which were responsible for health concerns in long-COVID patients. However, most of the industry-sponsored studies were focused on pulmonary symptoms. Although the epidemiological trends suggested a rise in cardiovascular complications, they were not addressed by most ongoing clinical studies at that time. Being a chronic condition, a longer follow-up period post-pandemic provides an opportunity to revisit the initial cardiovascular understanding. It is essential to re-assess the landscape after 3-4 years of the pandemic waves with respect to an emerging understanding of long-COVID as a health concern, the pharma industry’s innovation and investments to address them, and new ways to evaluate health outcomes from a real-world perspective. In this study, we highlight the trends in the landscape of industry-sponsored clinical activities (observational and interventional studies) addressing long-COVID over the period, based on the data from a clinical trial registry. We also explore deeper into the study designs and review the methods to assess the clinical outcomes that have evolved with greater emphasis on patient-reported outcomes. In addition, we also discuss the recent trends in understanding of long-COVID with respect to additional understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms and how the lack of specific diagnosis biomarkers for long-COVID is a barrier to further advancement in this field.


Methods

This analysis was conducted in three steps:

  1. Access a clinical trial registry to extract information about industry-sponsored studies as a dataset,

  2. Sequential shortlisting and curation of the data set, and

  3. Detailed analysis of the clinical studies that qualified the inclusion criteria, including type of assets, phase of development etc.

Clinical trial universe was assessed from the clinical trial registry maintained by National Library of Medicine (www.clinicaltrials.gov). The search string consisted of words and synonyms such as SARS COV-2, COVID-19, post-COVID-19, Post-acute COVID-19, Post-COVID Syndrome, COVID-19 sequelae, long COVID, persistence of symptoms and long-term health consequences (Figure 1). Timeline filter applied for the data extraction was the trial start date of 01/01/2021 or later. The data was downloaded from the registry on 30th Nov 2024 and 2nd Jan 2025 and merged. Only active clinical trials were considered for the analysis, excluding studies that were terminated, suspended, withdrawn or where the exact status was not available.

As the next step, the data universe was subjected to step-by-step shortlisting to include industry-sponsored clinical studies focusing on post-COVID syndrome or long COVID (Figure 1). The shortlisting criteria included exclusions like academic sponsorship, vaccines, studies focusing on acute-COVID-19, behavioral, physiotherapy or dietary interventions, and studies where the relevance or intent of the study in relation to long-COVID could not be established by the study description. The dataset was manually curated to address the inconsistency of the classification, such as industry sponsorship, trial focus, terminologies used in the studies etc.

Finally, the data available in the included trials were analyzed in detail to review the development stage and classify innovative approaches like medical devices, algorithms, biologics, etc., based on the information retrieved from the clinical trial registry.

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Figure 1: Prisma diagram showing the extracting and step-by-step shorting of industry sponsored clinical studies focusing on long-COVID. Clinical trial data was extracted from clinicaltrials.gov, a trial registry maintained by national library of medicine, USA.


Results

A. INDUSTRY-SPONSORED CLINICAL STUDY LANDSCAPE ADDRESSING LONG-COVID
We analyzed 74 new initiated clinical studies, from the registry with start date on or after 01 Jan 2021. Among the 74 new clinical studies sponsored or initiated by Industry that were initiated after 2021, 81% were interventional and 19% were observational (Figure 2-A). Year-on-year (YOY) landscape demonstrates that long-COVID remains a focus for pharma industry (Figure 2-B). The landscape shows that an average of ~20 new industry-sponsored clinical studies were initiated annually over the last three years (17-25) and three studies are pre-planned for 2025 (Figure 2).

The type of interventions under assessment include small molecule drugs, biologic assets such as monoclonal antibodies or cell/gene therapies, MedTech interventions such as neurostimulation devices or digital therapeutics etc. (Table 1). Interestingly, there are a few innovative approaches involving leveraging of data/algorithm or machine learning to aid in the diagnosis or prognosis of the long-COVID.

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Figure 2: Overview of clinical development landscape addressing long-COVID. A) Comparison of the industry-sponsored study design with previously published report. B) Year-on-year overview of new studies initiated/sponsored by pharma companies.


Table 1: Overview of interventional assets for clinical development in long-COVID.

Asset Study Stage Drugs/Small Molecules Biologic agents Devices/Procedures
Phase III (and phase II/III) Apabetalone, Fluvoxamine Maleate, LAU-7b, Losartan, Metformin ER/Metformin, Prospekta, Prednisolone, Sodium pyruvate (nasal spray), Ramatroban, Testofen IgPro20, Longidaza®, Meplazumab Devices: Wearable device, MouthLabTM, Inogen OneA® G4, SeraphA® 100, Vielight Neuro RX, Tens Eco Plus, Vimida, RD-X19™ light therapy device, AdheraA®, Viraximmune Fluorospot Assay
Phase II (and phase I/II) Abrocitinib, AXA1125, BC 007, Ensitrelvir, Efgartigimod, Leronlimab, MediCabilis Cannabis, Nirmatrelvir, Plitidepsin, Rintatolimod, RSLV-132, Ritonavir, Shenlingcao, S-1226, Tonabersat, TNX-102 SL, Temelimab, Vericiguat, Zofin COVI-MSC, AER002, RegeneCyte
Phase I or earlier VIX001 Ampion, Autologous Stem Cells, Cord Blood Stem Cells, MSC-derived exosomes Procedures: Splenic Ultrasound Stimulation, TENS – high/low-dose, Electrical Stimulation – Sham, Stellate Ganglion Block
Phase IV/observational/na* Ethyl methyl hydroxypyridine succinate with Meldonium, KB109, Pimozide

Reported as per the information available in the clinical trial registry. For generics or already marketed drugs, phase IV studies are being conducted. For observational studies, medical devices, procedures or nutraceuticals clinical development phases do not apply.

Notes:

  • This table excludes approaches for diagnosis, monitoring, database/algorithms etc.

  • Biologic agents include monoclonal antibodies, stem cells, biological fluid derivatives including enzyme derivatives.


Although the landscape is dominated by small pharma/biotech sponsors, there are also a few large pharma players with active assets in advanced stage trials such as Pfizer (Abrocitinib and Nirmatrelvir, Phase 2) and Bayer (Vericiguat, Phase 2). Similarly, subcutaneous injection of L-proline–stabilized 20% human immunoglobulin available as IgPro20 (CLS Behring) is being evaluated in phase 3 study for preventing Post-COVID Postural Orthostatic Tachycardia Syndrome. Advanced innovative approaches in this space include Longidaza or Bovhyaluronidase Azoximer (NPO Petrovax Pharma), an enzyme conjugate of PH20 hyaluronidase currently in phase 3 trial for post-COVID related pulmonary sequelae (https://longidaza.com) and Meplazumab (Jiangsu Pacific Meinuoke Bio Pharma Pvt Ltd), humanized anti-CD147 IgG 2 monoclonal antibody that recently completed phase 3 study for preventing post-COVID symptoms.

In addition, there are clinical studies evaluating stem cells from mesenchymal origin, cord blood and autologous stem cells in post-COVID syndrome. Overall, there are 35 clinical studies for small molecules and 10 studies for biologic products investigating benefits in health conditions of post-COVID patients.


B. Paradigm Shift in Long-COVID Clinical Assessment Framework

In the current analysis it is observed that most recent long-COVID related studies leveraged patient-reported outcomes and functional assessment scales to measure the clinical outcomes. These scales incorporate various aspects of health states such as cognitive function, physical function, quality of life, as well as functional assessments like pain index, gastrointestinal, vasomotor, and autonomic symptom scores (Table 2).


Table 2: Overview of commonly used PROs and Functional scales in long-COVID trials.

PRO Scales Brief Description Reference Clinical Trial IDs
PROMIS-29 Variants (including PROMIS-29, PROMIS-cognitive function, PROMISA® Fatigue Score (T-Score)) PROMIS® (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System) is a set of person-centered measures that evaluates and monitors physical, mental, and social health in adults and children, can be administered through computer-based or paper-based methods (www.healthmeasures.net). NCT05877508, NCT06161688, NCT06163690, NCT05497089, NCT04944121, NCT05668091, NCT05592418, NCT05576662, NCT05472090, NCT0590324, NCT05497089, NCT05668091, NCT05947617, NCT05918978, NCT05633407, NCT05592418, NCT04678830
Fatigue Severity Score Scale (FSS) The FSS is a self-reported, nine-item instrument designed to assess fatigue as a symptom of a variety of different chronic conditions and has the ability to measure fatigue severity or differentiate fatigue from clinical depression. NCT05795816, NCT05074888, NCT06128967, NCT06251518, NCT06097442, NCT05823896, NCT04997395, NCT05228899, NCT05175339, NCT06128967, NCT05697640
European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) The EQ-5D questionnaire is used worldwide as a patient-reported outcome (PRO) instrument for the measurement and valuation of health. Several variants of EQ-5D now exist, including versions with three and five levels of severity and one for adolescents. It can be used for multiple health conditions and interventions. (www.euroqol.org) NCT05823896, NCT05631171, NCT06097442, NCT05823896, NCT04997395, NCT05999435, NCT05668091, NCT05857124, NCT05697396, NCT06147050, NCT06383819
Patient Global Impression of Change (PGI variants) (Includes sub-scales PGI-C, PGI-S and PGI-I for Change, Severity, and Improvement respectively) The PGI is the PRO counterpart to the Clinical Global Impressions scale (CGI), published in 1976 by the National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH, US). It consists of one item based on the CGI and adapted to the patient. It mainly measures Change in clinical status (PGI-C) but can also measure disease Severity (PGI-S) or disease Improvement (PGI-I). It is managed and distributed by Mapi Research Trust (ePROVIDE™ platform) (https://eprovide.mapi-trust.org). NCT05576662, NCT05840237, NCT04944121, NCT05999435, NCT05668091, NCT05918978, NCT05633407, NCT05205577, NCT
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PRO Scales Brief Description Reference Clinical Trial IDs
Modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) Dyspnea Scale mMRC Dyspnea Scale is a simple, self-reported scale widely used in clinical research to assess the severity of breathlessness and disability in patients with respiratory diseases. NCT05601180, NCT05121740, NCT06097442, NCT05713266, NCT05823896, NCT05947617, NCT06383819, NCT04949386
Chalder Fatigue Scale (CFS or CFS-11) CFS is also referred to as the CFQ, to differentiate it from chronic fatigue syndrome or CFS. It was created by Trudie Chalder at King’s College London to measure the severity of tiredness in fatiguing illnesses. CFS-11 consists of 11 items answered on a 4-point scale and measures two dimensions — physical fatigue and psychological fatigue. NCT05840237, NCT05864952, NCT06251518, NCT06189066, NCT05152849, NCT06147050, NCT06251518
Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scale The MoCA Test is a sensitive and validated cognitive screening tool for early detection of mild to severe cognitive impairment. MoCA Full is widely used internationally by various medical professionals and is available in over 100 languages and dialects. MoCA is also available as a quick and fun digital self-assessment tool for the general public (www.mocacognition.com). NCT05212831, NCT05947617, NCT05823896, NCT05939622, NCT05689827, NCT05175339, NCT05592418
Generalized Anxiety Disorder – 7 item scale (GAD-7) GAD-7 is a self-administered 7-item questionnaire designed for screening and measuring the severity of generalized anxiety disorder. The GAD-7 is validated and adopted due to its strong psychometric properties, including high internal consistency and good test-retest reliability (https://psychology-tools.com/test/gad-7). NCT05204615, NCT05497089, NCT04997395, NCT05947617, NCT05175339, NCT06251518, NCT06251518
Patient Health Questionnaire – 8 item scale (PHQ-8) The PHQ-8 is a valid diagnostic and severity measure for depressive disorders in clinical research and population-based studies. It can be used as a diagnostic algorithm or for defining current depression state in the general population. NCT05204615, NCT05497089, NCT04997395, NCT05947617, NCT05175339, NCT06251518, NCT06251518
The Composite Autonomic Symptom Score (COMPASS-31) The COMPASS-31 scale measures neurodegenerative system symptoms through 31 patient-reported questions across six weighted domains: orthostatic intolerance, vasomotor, secretomotor, gastrointestinal, bladder, and pupillomotor functions. Developed by researchers at Mayo Clinic, Rochester (USA), it uses a simplified scoring algorithm and is suitable for widespread use in autonomic research and practice. NCT05633407, NCT05823896, NCT06524739, NCT05918978, NCT05697640, NCT05877508
Fatigue Assessment Scale (FAS-10) The FAS-10 scale is a 10-item self-report scale evaluating symptoms of chronic fatigue and can be quickly administered within 2 minutes. The FAS treats fatigue as a unidimensional construct and does not separate its measurement into different factors. NCT05204615, NCT05631171, NCT05939622, NCT05689827, NCT05857124
Post-COVID-19 Functional Status Scale (PCFS) The PCFS scale focuses on relevant aspects of daily life during follow-up after COVID infection and objectively determines the degree of disability. The scale is intended to be used in addition to other (patient-reported) instruments and not as a stand-alone instrument. It is assessed at specified time points (at discharge, weeks post-discharge, and 6 months). It can be administered by medical experts or trained interviewers. NCT06097442, NCT05713266, NCT06590324, NCT05497089
PRO Scales Brief Description Reference Clinical Trial IDs
Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI-20) The MFI is a self-reported 20-item scale designed to evaluate five dimensions of fatigue: general fatigue, physical fatigue, reduced motivation, reduced activity, and mental fatigue. The scale leverages positively and negatively oriented items in a scale to avoid response bias (acquiescence effects); however, this procedure can also reduce the reliability of the scale. NCT05689827, NCT05939622, NCT05689827
PedsQL-MFS The PedsQL™ Multidimensional Fatigue Scale was designed as a generic symptom-specific instrument to measure fatigue in patients with acute and chronic health conditions as well as healthy school and community populations, including pediatric and adults (https://eprovide.mapi-trust.org). NCT06147050, NCT05823896, NCT06147050
The COVID-19 Yorkshire Rehabilitation Scale (C19-YRS) The C19-YRS is the first condition-specific, validated scale for patient assessment, monitoring and to capture persistent symptoms of Long COVID / Post-COVID syndrome. C19-YRS is a 22-item scale that includes symptom severity, functional disability, overall health score, and additional symptoms. There is also a modified C19-YRS (C19-YRSm) based on a 17-item questionnaire, developed with the same subscales. A digital version of C19-YRS is also available for personal use, developed by the digital health company ELAROS in collaboration with the University of Leeds and NHS Trusts. NCT04997395

COVID-19 Yorkshire Rehabilitation Scale (C19-YRS) is a post-COVID-19 specific scale developed by NHS scientists to estimate symptom severity score, functional disability score and global health score.

However, the most used assessment frameworks are the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS®) or its variants, and Patient Global Impression (PGI or its variants such as PGI-C, PGI-S) and European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) (Table 2). Composite Autonomic Symptom Score-31 (COMPASS-31), Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scale, and post-COVID-19 Functional Status Scale (PCFS) are other validated methods widely used.

Fatigue is recognized as the most consistent complication in post-COVID patients across studies and has been used widely in the clinical studies. In long-COVID related clinical trials, commonly used fatigue assessment tools include Fatigue Severity Score (FSS) Scale and Chalder Fatigue Score (CFS-11).

Similarly, commonly used psycho/cognitive functional scales for post-COVID assessments are Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scale, PROMIS-cognitive function scale (a variant of PROMIS®), Generalized Anxiety Disorders (GAD-7), Patient Health Questionnaire depression scale (PHQ-8), Depression Anxiety Stress Scale (DASS-21) etc. (Table 2).

In addition to these global health assessment scores, there are also organ system-specific functional assessment tools such as mMRC Dyspnea Scale and St George’s Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) specific to respiratory complications including asthma/COPD and bronchiectasis. Moreover, in addition to the specific outcome assessments, standard quality of life assessment methods such as Modified GSQ-30, PedsQL-MFS, SF-36 QOL, SF-12 QOL and WHOOQOL-100 can also be used at the investigator’s discretion.


Discussion

Temporal patterns of COVID-19 acute onset showed four distinct waves of the pandemic, with the fourth or the last wave occurring between July 2021 and January 2022 in the US. However, COVID-19 cases continue to be reported — with 161,264 positive cases and 2,935 deaths monthly (as of 5th Jan).

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2025), mostly coming from European region (https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19/). While under-reporting of cases mainly from LMIC as well as developed countries cannot be ruled out, these numbers are still concerning. Pharma industry has responded to these public health concerns and initiated nearly 100 trials in the last 5 years. Umesh et al., 2022 reported that there were 24 active clinical studies by August 2021, sponsored by pharma industry. Here, our analysis showed that 74 new clinical studies were registered on the clinicaltrials.gov portal since 2021, including 19, 23, and 17 studies initiated in the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, suggesting continued thrust from industry in the area. Our findings were consistent with previous findings that more than three-fourths of the industry-sponsored studies are interventional, which is the conventional study design for the development of new drugs. Observational studies are conducted to observe epidemiological patterns or disease prevalence and are mostly driven by academic sponsorship (Figure 1-A).

The clinical development landscape reveals interesting insights with respect to innovative interventional approaches to address long-COVID as a health concern. This includes assets such as enzyme conjugates (Longidaza®), antiviral agents (Nirmatrelvir), kinase inhibitors (Abrocitinib) and processed/stabilized immunoglobulins (IgPro20), among others. Some of these candidate drugs such as Meplazumab and IgPro20 were previously approved in US and EU markets. Meplazumab has shown its efficacy in acute-COVID-19 in terms of reducing virus load and cytokine levels. IgPro20 is approved for primary immunodeficiency disease and tolerated well in adults as well as children.

Interestingly, emerging technological facets of innovation such as wearable devices, machine learning/algorithms, and non-invasive procedures like neuromodulation are also being studied to prevent and/or treat long-COVID. This evidence reinforces that continuous innovation and investments are being made to address long-COVID as a public health concern.


Characteristics of long-COVID have been reviewed in the literature extensively through systematic literature reviews, meta-analyses, and retrospective large database analyses. Reports have suggested that pathophysiological damages caused by acute-COVID could involve neurological, pulmonary, cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, endocrine, and metabolic systems and result in persistent clinical symptoms up to two years post initial diagnosis. The exact proportion of these complications varies significantly depending on data sources, demographics, patient characteristics, and study design. Hyper-inflammatory changes and cytokine storm caused by acute-COVID-19 disease were hypothesized as key mechanisms resulting in multiple-organ dysfunctions and complications lasting over a longer duration.

Longitudinal follow-up of COVID-19 hospitalization survivors suggested that nearly 90% of the individuals with post-COVID sequelae returned to their respective work profiles by two years but had lower quality of life, worse exercise capacity, more mental health abnormalities, and increased health-care resource usage after discharge.


Intriguingly, the initial hypothesis of long-COVID impact on fertility and oncogenic pathogenesis did not replicate from real-world reporting over the longer observation period after COVID-19 pandemic waves. The methods to assess the clinical outcomes have seen significant advancement from conventional specific symptom-based approaches to patient-reported outcome-based functional scales. Earlier studies related to long-COVID assessed the clinical outcomes based on organ system-specific pathology and specific clinical endpoints.

In the current landscape, we observed that most of the studies have adopted to assess the disease progress through standardized patient reported outcome (PRO) scales or functional assessment tools that incorporate inputs from HCPs and/or patients. These scales have allowed the investigators to look at long-COVID as a complex health condition, instead of isolated perspectives. These advancements correlate with improved understanding of most symptoms such as fatigue in long-COVID patients.

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