↓ Read PDF
01 · ABSTRACT

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic was investigated within a general Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) model, especially the distributions of its dead cases and infectious ones. This paper applied its nonextensive modification with respect to more realistic situations. A time-dependent SIR model was modified when particularly regarding control and mitigation measures in response to the societal impacts of epidemics and pandemics. We validated all the theoretical results by fitting the derived q -distributions with data from the COVID-19 pandemic in the world. It was found that not all the changeable fit parameters are independent, some of which shared common properties, a result corroborated by our model prediction. Our modified SIR model was proved to be effective in fitting the COVID-19 epidemic distributions. The relative non-extensive parameter was strongly connected with the freedom of systems, which thus threw a light upon the prevention and treatment of disease next in the world.

↓ Read PDF
02 · PUBLICATION RECORD

Article details

JournalMedical Research Archives
IssueVol 10 No 6 (2022): Vol.10 Issue 6 June 2022
SectionResearch Articles
Published26 June 2022
DOI10.18103/mra.v10i6.2904
ISSN2375-1924
03 · RIGHTS & REUSE

Rights & reuse

This article is published under a Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 3.0) and may be shared or distributed by anyone as long as attribution is given to the journal.

Authors & affiliations

YL

Yang Liu

School of Science, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China

CY

Chen-Yue Yu

School of Nuclear Science and Engineering, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China

KS

Ke-Ming Shen

School of Science, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China

Medical Research Archives

Submit your own article

Register as an author to reserve your spot in the next issue of the Medical Research Archives.

Start your submission  ↗