Simplifying COVID-19 Data Analytics for Efficient Pandemic Management: A Novel Approach

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15-May-5269.pdf
Published Apr 30, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18103/mra.v12i4.5269

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Main Article Content

H. M. Morales-Fajardo, MSc
School of Engineering, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, México
J. Rodríguez-Arce, PhD
School of Engineering, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, México;  School of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, México;  Tecnologico de Monterrey, School of Engineering and Sciences, México
B. E. Ruvalcaba-Ramos, PhD
Institute of Neurosciences, CUCBA, Universidad de Guadalajara, México
S. Montes de Oca, PhD
Tecnologico de Monterrey, School of Engineering and Sciences, México

Abstract

This study presents a streamlined approach to pandemic management by simplifying COVID-19 data analytics. It focuses on the significant role of mobility patterns in forecasting case trajectories. Utilizing open mobility data from Google and Apple, a novel predictive model is proposed that aids health authorities in scenario projection and case monitoring. This model facilitates informed decision-making with minimal economic impact during future outbreaks.


Key findings highlight the profound link between mobility changes and COVID-19 case trends, emphasizing the necessity of integrating mobility data into predictive models. The model employing linear and polynomial regression analyses and incorporating the effective reproduction number, Rt, and the influence mobility changes have on population forecasts can be extended up to 90 days.


The study acknowledges limitations, particularly the reliance on mobility data that does not fully encompass all variables affecting virus transmission. Moreover, it explores the mental health implications of mobility restrictions, suggesting a broader impact of pandemic management strategies.


The proposed model is a practical tool for managing pandemics through mobility data analysis, underscoring the need for comprehensive studies on the broader effects of mobility changes to guide public health policies.

Keywords: COVID-19, Mobility Data, Predictive Modeling, Data Analytics, Public Health Policy

Article Details

How to Cite
MORALES-FAJARDO, H. M. et al. Simplifying COVID-19 Data Analytics for Efficient Pandemic Management: A Novel Approach. Medical Research Archives, [S.l.], v. 12, n. 4, apr. 2024. ISSN 2375-1924. Available at: <https://esmed.org/MRA/mra/article/view/5269>. Date accessed: 21 dec. 2024. doi: https://doi.org/10.18103/mra.v12i4.5269.
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Issue
Vol 12 No 4 (2024): April issue, Vol.12, Issue 4
Section
Research Articles

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